TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Jackson State Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jackson State Tigersof Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, Jackson State Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Jackson State Tigers59c7,089$4,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.151,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions20c6,920$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.085,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions50c3,610$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.1729845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions39c3,252$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.092,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions13c2,226$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.2493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jackson State Tigers50c2,222$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1112,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jackson State Tigers52c2,178$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.133,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions51c1,664$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.674649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jackson State Tigers52c1,544$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.372,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Jackson State Tigers49c1,338$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.2926254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions49c1,041$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.391,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Jackson State Tigers51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9921549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Jackson State Tigers66c975.34$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.489448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jackson State Tigers65c959.93$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.823,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions32c875.5$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.41,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jackson State Tigers50c862.26$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.42,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c814.13$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.3521646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Jackson State Tigers66c811.39$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Jackson State Tigers62c704.45$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3913445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions40c638.42$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.222,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions51c588.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jackson State Tigers64c496.74$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jackson State Tigers50c418.7$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.621,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions25c399.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.354344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jackson State Tigers51c392.15$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9437441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c347.48$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions42c331.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Jackson State Tigers51c329.58$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.229747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions45c312.08$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.872,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jackson State Tigers48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions34c290.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.672254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Jackson State Tigers57c252.43$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions43c246.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Jackson State Tigers49c221.55$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.462140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions47c216.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.999639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fc…28abbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions45c215.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.88748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions49c199.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.251,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0324…fdbcbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions54c197.68$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.422458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f7…1b73backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions54c182$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions57c174.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.147454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Jackson State Tigers59c157.28$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.124951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1967…0debbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions33c149.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.616826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions40c147.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions70c141.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2717950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions21c120.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.865740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Jackson State Tigers49c109.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6111051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Jackson State Tigers48c104.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5918241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions36c99.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions43c96.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3114450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c95.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.563148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Jackson State Tigers66c89.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.334553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions37c80.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb89…ec39backed Jackson State Tigers49c80.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.272763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf926…fb21backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions50c79.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.658333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions21c78.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7f…85c3backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c76.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.652744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions49c73.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0725837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions51c71.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.491,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions35c70.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.364,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Jackson State Tigers71c69.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Jackson State Tigers56c68.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1713141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jackson State Tigers59c65.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.441,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions47c62.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6648551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Jackson State Tigers75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1971655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Jackson State Tigers51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.520254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions51c48.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0591…fb4abacked Jackson State Tigers52c46.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Jackson State Tigers49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.133445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions49c38.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9461244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Jackson State Tigers45c33.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1715246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Jackson State Tigers60c31.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.593050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions48c28.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.882955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Jackson State Tigers59c25.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44e5…3c33backed Jackson State Tigers50c25.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf653…a8d3backed Jackson State Tigers53c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions52c19.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.316253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Jackson State Tigers76c19.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.713174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Jackson State Tigers77c18.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3418557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.