South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. CF América: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0148891b4662be4dbf3ea35ce92cf1eaa9c44ffd102f11300a9ffcebfdcc09aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 908.92$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.82 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 40c | 636.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 629.98$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 444.84$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.4 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 344$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 341.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 319.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 45c | 222.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 49c | 191.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 57c | 171.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Over | 44c | 150.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 54c | 135.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 115.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 64c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 95.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 55c | 64.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 63.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Under | 46c | 60.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 47.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 45c | 34.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Under | 55c | 33.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 56c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…6557backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…80d0backed Under | 60c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…3c7abacked Over | 43c | 24.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…94d5backed Under | 58c | 20.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 65c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. CF América: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Puebla vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.