Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
CSUN Matadors vs. Long Beach State Beach
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac11eb5cde123537af7d950034997ea35ba092fe1aee7a9c1c4f70fb1513753e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSUN Matadorsof CSUN Matadors, Long Beach State Beach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 10c | 5,700$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Long Beach State Beach | 2c | 895$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked CSUN Matadors | 62c | 829$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.09 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 744.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 8c | 714.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CSUN Matadors | 61c | 551.53$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 38c | 445.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Long Beach State Beach | 9c | 439.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 418.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e1…f709backed Long Beach State Beach | 7c | 361.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Long Beach State Beach | 7c | 293.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Long Beach State Beach | 26c | 208$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 193$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Long Beach State Beach | 15c | 164.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed CSUN Matadors | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Long Beach State Beach | 18c | 124.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed CSUN Matadors | 61c | 123.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Long Beach State Beach | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked CSUN Matadors | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Long Beach State Beach | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Long Beach State Beach | 38c | 84.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked CSUN Matadors | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CSUN Matadors | 60c | 64.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CSUN Matadors | 61c | 60.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed CSUN Matadors | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed CSUN Matadors | 74c | 54.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Long Beach State Beach | 37c | 29.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 39c | 27.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSUN Matadors vs. Long Beach State Beachthis page
- CSUN Matadors vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: CSUN Matadors (-3.5)Long Beach State Beach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.