Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8687a6e0147534874b6de1f340c99c307bd0e3200cf189baffe2334282481ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Kentucky Norseof Northern Kentucky Norse, Oakland Golden Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,706 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 58c | 3,021$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.3 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 30c | 1,925$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 1,725$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 46c | 1,680$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 1,335$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.46 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 59c | 1,251$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.78 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 1,098$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.01 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 44c | 1,079$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 29c | 676.73$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 57c | 593.85$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.16 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 351.32$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 40c | 330.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 47c | 295.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 57c | 273.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 32c | 238.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 57c | 216.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 198.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 136.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 63c | 125.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 115.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 50c | 107.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 74c | 106.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 41c | 103.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 103.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 31c | 94.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 44c | 92.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 88.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 45c | 87.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 63c | 78.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 55c | 66.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 54c | 62.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 59.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 56c | 58.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 57.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 34c | 55.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 33c | 55.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 57c | 54.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 45c | 49.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 66c | 49.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 43c | 46.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e3…8c25backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 44c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 40c | 41.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…9903backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 34.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 32.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 29.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 27.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…ec4bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 57c | 26.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b431backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 53c | 25.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 58c | 25.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 24.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 21.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…c2c1backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 57c | 20.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 76c | 20.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesthis page
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 158.5Over won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-2.5)Northern Kentucky Norse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.