Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: American Eagles (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1abad2ee748df335ca4ec0135ce79cc037963589f3b2097bb93c5b98c6e59627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- American Eaglesof American Eagles, Lafayette Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 5,699$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.48 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked American Eagles | 47c | 2,360$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked American Eagles | 47c | 1,512$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed American Eagles | 45c | 1,029$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.16 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked American Eagles | 47c | 1,016$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.51 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Lafayette Leopards | 56c | 622.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 54c | 545.22$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed American Eagles | 46c | 199.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed American Eagles | 46c | 125.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked American Eagles | 47c | 124.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed American Eagles | 47c | 121.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed American Eagles | 51c | 105.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed American Eagles | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked American Eagles | 51c | 83.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked American Eagles | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lafayette Leopards | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed American Eagles | 47c | 57.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked American Eagles | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed American Eagles | 47c | 50.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed American Eagles | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed American Eagles | 30c | 46.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Lafayette Leopards | 56c | 21.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: American Eagles (-4.5)this page
- American Eagles vs. Lafayette LeopardsAmerican Eagles won
- American Eagles vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 140.5Under won
- American Eagles vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.