Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8884e67658d72159545d74aeaff4bfdb6c086245145ef0eee860192776ae18e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 50c | 6,981$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.54 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 49c | 6,481$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.88 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 3,586$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.13 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 1,452$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.09 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 50c | 1,138$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.98 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 626.95$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.47 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 253$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Under | 49c | 244.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 51c | 221.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 52c | 162.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 138.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 70c | 98.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 84.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 50c | 46.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 31c | 43.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 50c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5this page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Auburn TigersOle Miss Rebels won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-10.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.