Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x658fda320c92c98090f9cec800eaa6be653cf0254eabceb27a003bd2dc0d7279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 13,600$6,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,529.26 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 52c | 13,086$6,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.78 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.61 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Over | 48c | 1,983$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.61 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 53c | 1,365$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.51 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 926.13$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 466$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Under | 54c | 266.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Under | 55c | 181.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 174$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 172.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Over | 47c | 165.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Over | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Over | 52c | 95.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 87.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 54c | 73.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 59.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 55.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 54.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…0126backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 53c | 48.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 49c | 48.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 46c | 42.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 52c | 35.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Under | 54c | 32.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 29.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 53c | 26.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 54c | 19.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 141.5this page
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-6.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.