Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cac00be00a988361734120df7b19413e453cb8f13a18e1a57f48dfc86287042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Hawkeyesof Iowa Hawkeyes, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 10,007$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.34 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 4,119$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.14 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 2,987$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.71 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 2,131$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.29 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 54c | 1,842$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.85 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 1,241$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 812.34$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.05 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 757$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.93 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 71c | 433.23$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.73 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 55c | 429.12$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.14 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 22c | 372.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.36 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 300.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 237.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 213.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 182.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 45c | 111.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 94.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 69.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 33.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 33.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 33.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-6.5)this page
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 141.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.