TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Stonehill Skyhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mercyhurst Lakersof Mercyhurst Lakers, Stonehill Skyhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks54c8,399$4,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,559.465,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mercyhurst Lakers43c6,012$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.8534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks52c4,908$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.241,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mercyhurst Lakers38c3,830$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.811,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Mercyhurst Lakers29c2,704$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.781,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers41c2,467$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.1713342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Mercyhurst Lakers60c2,109$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.9946446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Stonehill Skyhawks55c1,480$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.5770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mercyhurst Lakers35c1,237$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.914,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mercyhurst Lakers53c1,109$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.911,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Stonehill Skyhawks49c992.84$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4925946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Stonehill Skyhawks38c980.86$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.951,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mercyhurst Lakers53c727.26$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.072,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Mercyhurst Lakers54c708.35$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.311,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers51c673.49$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Mercyhurst Lakers58c663.3$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.012,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stonehill Skyhawks45c604$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.782,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mercyhurst Lakers25c582$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.542,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3674…1bccbacked Mercyhurst Lakers63c415.85$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stonehill Skyhawks56c381.67$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.623,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Stonehill Skyhawks46c369.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.172638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Stonehill Skyhawks45c358.82$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.429845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mercyhurst Lakers28c329.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Mercyhurst Lakers44c322.2$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.692,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Mercyhurst Lakers53c297.39$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7711051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stonehill Skyhawks48c297.38$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.742,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers53c295.4$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.844365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers44c273.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2311046.4%51 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercyhurst Lakers50c216.34$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.271,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Mercyhurst Lakers46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3710244.1%45 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Mercyhurst Lakers52c207.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9516253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Mercyhurst Lakers53c207.61$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5730853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Mercyhurst Lakers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8811560%69 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Mercyhurst Lakers38c198.36$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.972540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Stonehill Skyhawks48c192.82$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5524951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Stonehill Skyhawks45c157.71$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1932246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Stonehill Skyhawks48c154.89$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3411257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks48c137.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mercyhurst Lakers53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.691,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers46c132$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2820452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks53c99.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.691,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers31c99.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.732,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Stonehill Skyhawks46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1643053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Mercyhurst Lakers57c95.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1325239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Stonehill Skyhawks63c86.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.364959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks54c79.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Stonehill Skyhawks58c78.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5430054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Stonehill Skyhawks53c73.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.081,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Mercyhurst Lakers22c64.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3415551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Stonehill Skyhawks45c60.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4749157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Stonehill Skyhawks47c60.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2378052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks47c59.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9575447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f9…7164backed Stonehill Skyhawks41c59.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mercyhurst Lakers52c57.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mercyhurst Lakers37c56.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.921,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Stonehill Skyhawks43c55.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Stonehill Skyhawks47c52.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks47c52.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stonehill Skyhawks37c52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mercyhurst Lakers58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.735852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks42c51.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.681,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63d…a59bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks39c50.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Mercyhurst Lakers34c43.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4315246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Mercyhurst Lakers52c42.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.191,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers44c41.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers54c40.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87865.4%51 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Stonehill Skyhawks56c35.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832722.2%6 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Mercyhurst Lakers56c34.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1644549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks62c30.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.884,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Stonehill Skyhawks43c29.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.621,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3392…de47backed Stonehill Skyhawks45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Stonehill Skyhawks64c27.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5819348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Stonehill Skyhawks63c25.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.113237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks62c23.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8431666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3831…7f10backed Stonehill Skyhawks64c23.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.875554.5%30 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Mercyhurst Lakers59c21.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7721059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6fc…314dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks76c20.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.85947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Mercyhurst Lakers54c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.128646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Stonehill Skyhawks72c18.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.079056.7%51 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.