Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43552b63934f677a29d6020b0ea36d9bb522daf4165439f4223789161ac188e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 35,689$17,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,884.29 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 50c | 7,865$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.35 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 50c | 5,376$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.77 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Over | 50c | 3,469$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 50c | 2,916$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.13 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 50c | 2,706$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.1 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 52c | 2,504$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.47 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 2,438$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.99 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 50c | 1,991$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.63 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 48c | 1,273$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 1,099$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Over | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 901.05$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.52 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 50c | 495.63$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.81 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 50c | 393.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 43c | 294.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 50c | 267.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 247.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 49c | 239.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 51c | 205.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 197.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 157.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 112.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 99.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 88.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…8bb1backed Over | 50c | 48.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 50c | 46.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…6ab0backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…7164backed Under | 59c | 33.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…e6f6backed Over | 50c | 29.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 50c | 27.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 25.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 135.5this page
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Stonehill SkyhawksMercyhurst Lakers won
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-2.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.