Lol · resolved market
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc306ac379cc2857f92f33923b87cbf3755ce077356f368e75294160b2fc16646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Orange Gamingof ROSSMANN Centaurs, Team Orange Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 0c | 4,788$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 1,185$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 38c | 1,074$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Orange Gaming | 61c | 981.18$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.68 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 62c | 929.02$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…c12bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Orange Gaming | 72c | 335.01$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 6c | 210.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 165.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 61c | 146.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 39c | 87.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 63.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Team Orange Gaming | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 41c | 34.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Team Orange Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked Team Orange Gaming | 61c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Team Orange Gaming | 59c | 22.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Team Orange Gaming | 65c | 15.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.