Lol · resolved market
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs G2 NORD (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ba38c08d51c4ca4e958c130620aa19b4b08fba41d1954d51dd7f7aed21d677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof Kaufland Hangry Knights, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5286…0d47backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 29c | 5,152$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.78 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed G2 NORD | 71c | 4,196$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.97 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 15c | 1,214$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed G2 NORD | 71c | 960$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 NORD | 68c | 896.86$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.47 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 27c | 427.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 25c | 411.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 NORD | 76c | 315.81$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 32c | 302.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked G2 NORD | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed G2 NORD | 72c | 212.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…6374backed G2 NORD | 74c | 206$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 20c | 205$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 10c | 202.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 37c | 188.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…42abbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 38c | 154.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 NORD | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 27c | 138.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 33c | 128.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed G2 NORD | 66c | 128.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked G2 NORD | 62c | 127.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 34c | 116.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed G2 NORD | 62c | 112.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked G2 NORD | 76c | 100.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked G2 NORD | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed G2 NORD | 63c | 55.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…216abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed G2 NORD | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed G2 NORD | 76c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed G2 NORD | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.