TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Merida Open Akron: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sonmezof Li, Sonmez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$364,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Li50c61,234$30,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,380.492,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sonmez47c30,396$14,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,002.767,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Li63c27,674$17,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,450.831,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Li52c22,043$11,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,512.429742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Li44c14,439$6,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,358.722,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Sonmez23c11,200$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6241,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Sonmez19c10,376$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,440.089855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Sonmez48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9443051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Sonmez39c7,716$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,688.426550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sonmez52c6,304$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.46,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sonmez40c6,115$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.3676546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Li62c5,568$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.136,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Sonmez48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.3220542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sonmez45c5,146$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.322,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Sonmez77c4,969$3,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.979430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Sonmez35c4,715$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.031,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Sonmez27c4,316$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.8230241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Sonmez27c4,002$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.4944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Li69c3,106$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.5228552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Li52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.985644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Li61c2,826$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.8765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Li30c2,542$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Li54c2,407$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9820847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Li63c2,381$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sonmez42c2,351$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.211,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Li22c2,269$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Li58c2,227$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.3144038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Sonmez48c2,164$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.0238133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sonmez19c2,065$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.041,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a21…e7f0backed Sonmez29c2,044$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.694247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Li53c1,875$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.895860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Sonmez47c1,822$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.691,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Sonmez49c1,525$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.751,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Sonmez62c1,500$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.55565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Sonmez42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sonmez42c1,462$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.2281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Li53c1,414$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.921,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Li76c1,317$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Sonmez47c1,286$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.5918439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Sonmez68c1,258$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4669249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…1dd4backed Li79c1,094$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.781752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Sonmez46c1,090$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.611045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Sonmez49c1,031$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.6399139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Li52c961.51$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.984040%16 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Li54c926.56$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Sonmez46c898.2$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.2431753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Sonmez42c894$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.131,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Sonmez48c867.96$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.3410541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Sonmez48c855.37$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.132646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Li68c818.46$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.638,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Sonmez48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41614536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sonmez48c745.45$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.271,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Sonmez43c683.64$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.6472542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Li49c670.89$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.66,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Sonmez8c653.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.749530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Li48c601.27$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29125957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Li54c595.03$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…092fbacked Li76c592.11$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011247.3%53 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Li49c584.92$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.321,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Li79c555.56$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404967.3%33 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sonmez42c541.45$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8657252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Sonmez46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27032842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Sonmez32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3404557.8%26 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Sonmez48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Sonmez48c495.1$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.135268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Li63c489$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.071,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sonmez26c485.21$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.016,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Sonmez47c468.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0943448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Sonmez22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5568026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sonmez39c434.71$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.372,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Sonmez47c426.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6621758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Li76c399$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5817867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Sonmez47c393.64$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6349632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Li61c391$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Li51c386.94$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3498055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Li52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Li74c382.71$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5922344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sonmez43c375.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.44,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Li56c357.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8118551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Li60c349.6$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21027749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Li76c328.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Sonmez46c327.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3827935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sonmez46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.092,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Sonmez40c318.28$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1146544.3%206 W · 259 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Li53c299.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9924454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Li53c283.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0814344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Li53c283.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sonmez47c282.59$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.621,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Sonmez29c264.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.850731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sonmez41c262$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.341,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Sonmez40c247.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5237339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Li71c233.2$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.578145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Li31c223.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.38845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sonmez46c219.48$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5247552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Sonmez32c218.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7544448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fc…8b73backed Sonmez46c218.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.474742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Sonmez48c217$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7855641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed Li58c213.79$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sonmez48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Sonmez48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10447639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.