CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00cdfba113f7adf48f2bc0508e44c7c70317844cf2dc29e862bdbe7317c658d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed largadosypelados | 55c | 2,397$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.54 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial | 45c | 1,936$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.02 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked largadosypelados | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial | 45c | 1,197$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.43 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Imperial | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…bdfebacked largadosypelados | 58c | 504.79$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Imperial | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed largadosypelados | 35c | 465.51$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Imperial | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Imperial | 44c | 259.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked largadosypelados | 55c | 254.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Imperial | 45c | 215$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Imperial | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 42c | 180.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Imperial | 42c | 164.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked largadosypelados | 56c | 161.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Imperial | 44c | 134.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…bb71backed largadosypelados | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Imperial | 42c | 111$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed largadosypelados | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…45fcbacked Imperial | 67c | 88.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked largadosypelados | 58c | 86.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked largadosypelados | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed largadosypelados | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked largadosypelados | 58c | 77.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked largadosypelados | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Imperial | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Imperial | 42c | 69.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Imperial | 42c | 49.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed largadosypelados | 55c | 39.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89be…f72bbacked Imperial | 45c | 39.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed largadosypelados | 58c | 36.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed largadosypelados | 58c | 34.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed largadosypelados | 57c | 32.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked largadosypelados | 55c | 26.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Imperial | 45c | 26.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked largadosypelados | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked largadosypelados | 58c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.