Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe47101604e94f146e56951ae93cf655c38841fb6cdd768f0beaa4d6774bcc608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALTERNATE aTTaX Rubyof Karmine Corp GC, ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 49c | 296.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 40c | 251.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp GC | 49c | 181$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 54c | 179.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Karmine Corp GC | 25c | 165.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 54c | 147.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 56c | 122.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Karmine Corp GC | 53c | 120.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…b212backed Karmine Corp GC | 47c | 110.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp GC | 50c | 105.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…bb71backed Karmine Corp GC | 40c | 96.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed Karmine Corp GC | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed Karmine Corp GC | 48c | 82.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Karmine Corp GC | 58c | 81.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 73c | 76.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 37c | 66.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…6cc2backed Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Karmine Corp GC | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Karmine Corp GC | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Karmine Corp GC | 41c | 42.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Karmine Corp GC | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 37c | 35.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…7b1bbacked Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 53c | 30.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.