Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Martin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3f0e1b6a1100a2c4b72d6d47e3e5db1e19e5d64490fca8858ae37caefc197f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrej Martinof Mathys Erhard, Andrej Martin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,663 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e0b…76a1backed Mathys Erhard | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mathys Erhard | 43c | 8,556$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.65 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Andrej Martin | 51c | 6,587$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Andrej Martin | 50c | 4,999$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.13 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mathys Erhard | 36c | 4,226$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.91 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Andrej Martin | 56c | 3,668$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.78 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Andrej Martin | 42c | 3,638$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.87 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mathys Erhard | 53c | 3,447$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.06 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Andrej Martin | 40c | 3,000$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.42 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Mathys Erhard | 57c | 2,574$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.62 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Andrej Martin | 54c | 2,571$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.68 | 1,020 | 49.9%509 W · 511 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Andrej Martin | 52c | 2,500$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.09 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Mathys Erhard | 61c | 2,455$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andrej Martin | 71c | 1,919$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.89 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…8ad7backed Andrej Martin | 41c | 1,611$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Mathys Erhard | 60c | 1,394$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.47 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Andrej Martin | 61c | 1,261$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.29 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mathys Erhard | 53c | 1,176$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.68 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…a117backed Andrej Martin | 44c | 1,080$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Andrej Martin | 49c | 1,062$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.73 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Andrej Martin | 54c | 1,039$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.38 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Andrej Martin | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Mathys Erhard | 57c | 1,000$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.04 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Andrej Martin | 53c | 972.74$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.88 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Mathys Erhard | 60c | 928.87$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.31 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Mathys Erhard | 56c | 915.47$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.82 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Mathys Erhard | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,110 | 43%477 W · 633 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Andrej Martin | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andrej Martin | 41c | 820.35$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Andrej Martin | 40c | 749.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Mathys Erhard | 48c | 720$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Mathys Erhard | 58c | 601.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Mathys Erhard | 58c | 507.88$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.27 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Andrej Martin | 44c | 500$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.95 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Andrej Martin | 25c | 467$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.79 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Andrej Martin | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Andrej Martin | 42c | 452.8$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Andrej Martin | 52c | 444.88$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.56 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Andrej Martin | 46c | 433.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Andrej Martin | 46c | 432.45$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.82 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mathys Erhard | 55c | 419.61$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.98 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mathys Erhard | 52c | 417.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.87 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Andrej Martin | 39c | 408.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.54 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Andrej Martin | 49c | 405.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Mathys Erhard | 46c | 396.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…75dabacked Mathys Erhard | 5c | 382.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Andrej Martin | 46c | 379.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 363.6$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Mathys Erhard | 60c | 352.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Andrej Martin | 50c | 348.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Andrej Martin | 43c | 345.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Mathys Erhard | 58c | 343.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Andrej Martin | 41c | 334.72$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Mathys Erhard | 65c | 322.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Andrej Martin | 62c | 320.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 319$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 954 | 55.5%529 W · 425 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Mathys Erhard | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…4875backed Mathys Erhard | 60c | 284.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Mathys Erhard | 51c | 274$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Andrej Martin | 26c | 262.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Mathys Erhard | 36c | 262.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Andrej Martin | 42c | 250.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 358 | 32.4%116 W · 242 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Andrej Martin | 41c | 243$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 234.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Andrej Martin | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a0…ba20backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 217.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mathys Erhard | 43c | 214$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Mathys Erhard | 53c | 213.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mathys Erhard | 53c | 208.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andrej Martin | 42c | 201.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…c7d9backed Mathys Erhard | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Andrej Martin | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…f5bbbacked Mathys Erhard | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mathys Erhard | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Andrej Martin | 39c | 187.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Mathys Erhard | 54c | 186.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Mathys Erhard | 55c | 184.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Mathys Erhard | 59c | 176.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Andrej Martin | 48c | 173.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 1,128 | 27.9%315 W · 813 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Mathys Erhard | 58c | 173.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 708 | 57.5%407 W · 301 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Mathys Erhard | 61c | 169.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Mathys Erhard | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…d380backed Andrej Martin | 47c | 161.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Andrej Martin | 59c | 159.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Andrej Martin | 43c | 156.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Mathys Erhard | 56c | 140.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mathys Erhard | 51c | 139$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 845 | 48.3%408 W · 437 L | +34.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Mathys Erhard | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Mathys Erhard | 52c | 133$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Mathys Erhard | 57c | 131$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cba…c635backed Andrej Martin | 49c | 129.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Mathys Erhard | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Mathys Erhard | 57c | 126.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mathys Erhard | 48c | 124.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Mathys Erhard | 50c | 123.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Andrej Martin | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…f53cbacked Andrej Martin | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Mathys Erhard | 62c | 109.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Mathys Erhard | 56c | 105.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Martinthis page
- Erhard vs. Martin: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Mathys Erhard vs. Andrej Martin: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Erhard vs MartinErhard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.