Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5461f9dbc070e488d12f67fd2f87ebda7c27ed0c7f97a97a7173b2ff39788688

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: ARETEof Dplus, ARETE
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,196 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4fe…601fbacked ARETE	60c	604.3$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.99	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Dplus	30c	497.2$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.09	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Dplus	65c	490.76$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.06	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4f…6d4bbacked Dplus	62c	483.33$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Dplus	25c	466.59$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.11	223	44.4%99 W · 124 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Dplus	79c	443.65$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.47	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	66cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b0…cdf7backed Dplus	40c	370.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Dplus	67c	355.86$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.65	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked ARETE	36c	322.97$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.7	366	48.4%177 W · 189 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked ARETE	49c	302.49$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.92	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Dplus	38c	299.01$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.62	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Dplus	63c	296.71$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.93	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ARETE	27c	280.71$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.28	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked ARETE	37c	266.13$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.66	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Dplus	38c	260.45$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.98	361	38.5%139 W · 222 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked ARETE	63c	253.98$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.98	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed ARETE	62c	247.65$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.31	492	55.3%272 W · 220 L	+23.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3adf…9c7bbacked Dplus	74c	238.36$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.63	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked ARETE	61c	235.1$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.58	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed ARETE	42c	223.53$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.73	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Dplus	42c	214.7$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.41	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ARETE	55c	205.24$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.15	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dplus	59c	170.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.17	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ARETE	34c	160.4$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.86	601	54.2%326 W · 275 L	+24.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed ARETE	50c	158.36$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.02	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Dplus	66c	157.7$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.08	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked ARETE	58c	153.5$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.73	236	44.5%105 W · 131 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed ARETE	59c	142.87$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.18	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be3…6f63backed Dplus	66c	131.82$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ARETE	58c	128$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.24	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed ARETE	44c	126.29$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.86	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ARETE	53c	125$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.32	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Dplus	69c	125$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.25	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Dplus	64c	124.53$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.56	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Dplus	63c	123.32$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.77	344	43.3%149 W · 195 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ARETE	38c	120$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+17.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Dplus	27c	113.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.36	353	31.2%110 W · 243 L	-29.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Dplus	72c	110.55$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	345	71%245 W · 100 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked ARETE	28c	107.14$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.14	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed ARETE	37c	105.4$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.4	132	43.2%57 W · 75 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Dplus	66c	105.08$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fff…bb71backed ARETE	37c	104.24$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.67	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Dplus	53c	101.37$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.57	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dplus	59c	100.69$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.41	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked ARETE	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ARETE	41c	98.7$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.96	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked ARETE	44c	96.94$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.94	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Dplus	56c	96.94$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.94	176	53.4%94 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ARETE	52c	92.57$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.73	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ARETE	35c	89.47$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.96	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed ARETE	33c	83.75$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.11	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Dplus	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	106	64.2%68 W · 38 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+16%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed ARETE	72c	69.18$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.18	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed ARETE	36c	68.44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.89	338	38.5%130 W · 208 L	-21.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Dplus	68c	66.59$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	349	54.7%191 W · 158 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked ARETE	33c	65.49$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.14	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Dplus	65c	56.48$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.88	237	45.1%107 W · 130 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked ARETE	57c	56.22$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.17	287	43.2%124 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed ARETE	35c	56.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.42	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ARETE	40c	54$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.42	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x91c5…be94backed Dplus	67c	53.75$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ARETE	36c	52.08$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.14	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7070…821cbacked ARETE	58c	51$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.58	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked ARETE	65c	50.22$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.44	308	35.4%109 W · 199 L	-23.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Dplus	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	122	61.5%75 W · 47 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e42…b805backed Dplus	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed ARETE	60c	49.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.97	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bf…403ebacked ARETE	41c	46.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.66	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked ARETE	59c	43.12$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.75	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Dplus	63c	41.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	103	49.5%51 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Dplus	41c	40.36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	211	36.5%77 W · 134 L	-15.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Dplus	76c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed Dplus	39c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-8.0wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Dplus	62c	38.74$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.02	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Dplus	45c	35.74$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	269	32.3%87 W · 182 L	-25.7wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed Dplus	72c	34.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Dplus	69c	32.39$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.35	205	53.2%109 W · 96 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Dplus	49c	31.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.19	183	3.3%6 W · 177 L	-73.1wins	-0.40per pick	43cpaid	-93.1%equal weight	11-0.35 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Dplus	65c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bf…147fbacked Dplus	67c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Dplus	35c	29.49$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-20.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a42…6338backed Dplus	73c	27.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x736e…92babacked ARETE	45c	26.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Dplus	64c	25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	158	42.4%67 W · 91 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ARETE	57c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.46	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ARETE	54c	21.81$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.03	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3919…b3f3backed Dplus	65c	19.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked ARETE	64c	19.97$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsthis page
Map Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs ARETE (+1.5)ARETE won
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 1 WinnerARETE won
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 2 WinnerARETE won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event