Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b327e20daa51795974ac0cf8a42e58425f1fe93f5162d066bd61ba728d3070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARETEof Dplus, ARETE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ARETE | 57c | 3,705$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.67 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ARETE | 48c | 1,740$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.38 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dplus | 52c | 1,010$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.51 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Dplus | 56c | 922.35$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Dplus | 30c | 856.64$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Dplus | 75c | 670.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked ARETE | 43c | 523.11$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.88 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked ARETE | 52c | 439.3$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Dplus | 51c | 341$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Dplus | 32c | 311.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Dplus | 29c | 270.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Dplus | 50c | 222.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ARETE | 26c | 220.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed Dplus | 48c | 210.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked ARETE | 47c | 193.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ARETE | 38c | 175.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Dplus | 61c | 171.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Dplus | 15c | 163.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ARETE | 36c | 154.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed ARETE | 74c | 135.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…a075backed Dplus | 57c | 128.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Dplus | 47c | 120.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Dplus | 52c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ARETE | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dplus | 24c | 106$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Dplus | 44c | 90.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Dplus | 30c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Dplus | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Dplus | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dplus | 47c | 75.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dplus | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dplus | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Dplus | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Dplus | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dplus | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Dplus | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed ARETE | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b38…a4c4backed ARETE | 41c | 51.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ARETE | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ARETE | 48c | 48.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ARETE | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked ARETE | 39c | 39.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dplus | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dplus | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Dplus | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs ARETE (+1.5)ARETE won
- Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: PlayoffsARETE won
- Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 1 WinnerARETE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.