Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefadc1d6c57394772a79d9faa14772a7e60d2a21c9f9856bee6dacfa7328296e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARETEof Dplus, ARETE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Dplus | 51c | 4,705$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.06 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ARETE | 45c | 2,039$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.16 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Dplus | 64c | 1,566$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.6 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…cd44backed Dplus | 3c | 1,383$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed ARETE | 38c | 1,151$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.09 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dplus | 40c | 1,106$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.31 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ARETE | 72c | 1,047$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked ARETE | 44c | 848$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Dplus | 54c | 809.98$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.79 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ARETE | 37c | 761.6$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.37 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ARETE | 19c | 529.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked ARETE | 35c | 450$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Dplus | 56c | 414.62$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Dplus | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ARETE | 35c | 399.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.92 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…a075backed Dplus | 56c | 336.15$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked ARETE | 37c | 326.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Dplus | 33c | 311.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Dplus | 6c | 304$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Dplus | 48c | 302.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dplus | 71c | 286.15$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.27 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked ARETE | 62c | 265.32$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Dplus | 61c | 233.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dplus | 55c | 218.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dplus | 52c | 215.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed ARETE | 77c | 205.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Dplus | 33c | 191.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Dplus | 30c | 182.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Dplus | 60c | 168.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed ARETE | 45c | 154.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Dplus | 74c | 153$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dplus | 77c | 152.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Dplus | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Dplus | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked ARETE | 43c | 139.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dplus | 33c | 138.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed ARETE | 49c | 125.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ARETE | 49c | 120.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Dplus | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed ARETE | 41c | 113.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…027cbacked ARETE | 42c | 111$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ARETE | 38c | 110.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Dplus | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ARETE | 43c | 108$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Dplus | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Dplus | 50c | 95.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b38…a4c4backed Dplus | 24c | 88.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Dplus | 19c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ARETE | 33c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dplus | 53c | 84.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Dplus | 54c | 82.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ARETE | 50c | 80.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed ARETE | 35c | 79.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dplus | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed ARETE | 61c | 63.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked ARETE | 36c | 61.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ARETE | 52c | 55.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Dplus | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed Dplus | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Dplus | 55c | 48.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed ARETE | 36c | 48.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Dplus | 47c | 47.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dplus | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Dplus | 51c | 46.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed ARETE | 60c | 44.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Dplus | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dplus | 64c | 41.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Dplus | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dplus | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Dplus | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ARETE | 48c | 30.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ARETE | 38c | 29.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed Dplus | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Dplus | 53c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Dplus | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Dplus | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs ARETE (+1.5)ARETE won
- Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: PlayoffsARETE won
- Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 2 WinnerARETE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.