CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd09ff45a8c2e4ad5ae5142d981a146bd8514fab9389493ac1d2523bc85a6e925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butterflyof Butterfly, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c25…cafebacked Butterfly | 47c | 1,068$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Players | 51c | 828$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Just Players | 33c | 716.9$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Just Players | 19c | 629.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly | 43c | 596.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.05 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Just Players | 3c | 549.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Just Players | 66c | 548.75$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Just Players | 5c | 500.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 2c | 484.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Just Players | 62c | 484.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…c2c7backed Just Players | 66c | 452.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Just Players | 50c | 423.16$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Butterfly | 63c | 377$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…f37abacked Butterfly | 68c | 365.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly | 72c | 354$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Butterfly | 36c | 311.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.7 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Just Players | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed Just Players | 68c | 296.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Just Players | 38c | 289.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Butterfly | 35c | 270$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Just Players | 9c | 255$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Butterfly | 67c | 250.64$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Just Players | 37c | 243.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Just Players | 61c | 214.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Butterfly | 76c | 210$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Just Players | 60c | 204.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Butterfly | 68c | 201.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Just Players | 61c | 188.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Butterfly | 65c | 186.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked Just Players | 58c | 171.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Just Players | 60c | 166.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Just Players | 61c | 162.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…7ddcbacked Just Players | 55c | 155$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Butterfly | 61c | 153.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Butterfly | 67c | 147.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Just Players | 31c | 134.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…bb71backed Just Players | 61c | 127.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Butterfly | 41c | 123$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Butterfly | 80c | 108.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Butterfly | 35c | 107.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Butterfly | 47c | 104.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Just Players | 29c | 101.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Butterfly | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Just Players | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Just Players | 60c | 66.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Just Players | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Butterfly | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Just Players | 53c | 52.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Just Players | 55c | 49.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Butterfly | 39c | 48.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Just Players | 43c | 45.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Butterfly | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Butterfly | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Just Players | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Butterfly | 57c | 37.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked Just Players | 59c | 33.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Just Players | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Just Players | 35c | 30.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed Butterfly | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…838abacked Butterfly | 70c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Just Players | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerButterfly won
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerButterfly won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.