TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Keydof Keyd, MIBR Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1025…fbfabacked MIBR Academy0c36,880$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8811945.4%54 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Keyd69c7,787$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.6292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked MIBR Academy33c4,102$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.231,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd71c2,087$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.871,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed MIBR Academy1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed MIBR Academy32c1,562$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR Academy32c1,168$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.980942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd75c987.59$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.652,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x013e…65ddbacked Keyd67c920.79$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked MIBR Academy34c889.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR Academy21c816.56$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.312,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked MIBR Academy22c808.27$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.736440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR Academy20c726.55$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4863038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Keyd66c723.16$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.879160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR Academy21c665$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.991,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR Academy25c606.16$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.576,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked MIBR Academy31c553.19$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2923244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MIBR Academy33c540$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.25,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed MIBR Academy27c504.38$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3814846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed MIBR Academy32c497$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0433627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR Academy19c470.88$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.921,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Keyd68c449.16$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9648948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked MIBR Academy23c405.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7275833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR Academy22c374.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.292,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Keyd71c360.56$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.268659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b17…672ebacked MIBR Academy14c358.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Keyd72c347.93$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed MIBR Academy32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9699148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Keyd67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5114447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed MIBR Academy33c296.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9817438.5%67 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Keyd68c291.59$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5926360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR Academy10c280.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.783,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MIBR Academy31c279.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.792,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Keyd72c279.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1140558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Keyd76c271.88$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.364,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Keyd69c255$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Keyd69c253.62$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6247054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe4…8cafbacked MIBR Academy33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.55834.5%20 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked MIBR Academy25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.558745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked MIBR Academy19c249.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.530349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR Academy22c227.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.332,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Keyd68c223.41$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5920147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Keyd76c215.22$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.654753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MIBR Academy19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked MIBR Academy33c193.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5830450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf70…52fbbacked Keyd78c192.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd77c188.94$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.794,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed MIBR Academy26c187$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2927037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed MIBR Academy18c182$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2391743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Keyd67c181.06$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.757954.4%43 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfecb…5277backed MIBR Academy33c178.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed MIBR Academy22c178.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MIBR Academy11c177.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.842,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed MIBR Academy32c176.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7645748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Keyd76c174.01$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.54,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MIBR Academy32c169.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed MIBR Academy32c168.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4810731.8%34 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed MIBR Academy33c158.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3825635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd80c152.93$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.672,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MIBR Academy30c151.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.621,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd69c147.37$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.682,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Keyd68c146$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0277351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Keyd74c145.54$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4128173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x225e…ac2dbacked Keyd68c144.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.382676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f7d…0fa8backed MIBR Academy22c130.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed MIBR Academy23c127.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.287726%20 W · 57 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Keyd69c125.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.979154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed MIBR Academy28c124$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0847856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fff…bb71backed MIBR Academy32c120.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.571838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228a…73c9backed Keyd68c115$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34af…3bbfbacked MIBR Academy35c113.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Keyd68c112.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1432458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked MIBR Academy27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016032.5%52 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Keyd72c111$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0869732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR Academy31c110$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed MIBR Academy32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521636.1%78 W · 138 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed MIBR Academy14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15806.3%5 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ca…da6dbacked MIBR Academy16c92.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked MIBR Academy32c92.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Keyd69c90.69$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2351252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed MIBR Academy32c83.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7941437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed MIBR Academy32c81.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.124054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked MIBR Academy30c81.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.484854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR Academy23c79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.172,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed MIBR Academy33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7525643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MIBR Academy21c74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.772,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x12b4…a1bebacked MIBR Academy20c72.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+96.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd122…5d93backed Keyd69c69.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.573754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Keyd69c66.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7910953.2%58 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9107…75e0backed MIBR Academy31c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.846924.6%17 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed MIBR Academy33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205736.8%21 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed MIBR Academy32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.212654.8%69 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9702…ca89backed MIBR Academy19c58.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid+46.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Keyd67c56.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.451,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed MIBR Academy21c56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7632139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed MIBR Academy23c54.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6432138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed MIBR Academy32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1667750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed MIBR Academy32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked MIBR Academy31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.526448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed MIBR Academy30c49.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.839354.8%51 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.