CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf314709d3d7308a6631c12db33aecfe450134b00031513b01e907b2754ce4c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, MIBR Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Keyd | 50c | 5,669$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.99 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Keyd | 56c | 1,634$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Keyd | 49c | 1,295$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.96 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR Academy | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.3 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed MIBR Academy | 53c | 943.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Keyd | 47c | 938.7$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.51 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked MIBR Academy | 52c | 923.73$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.34 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR Academy | 45c | 649.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MIBR Academy | 50c | 600$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked MIBR Academy | 52c | 509.48$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.15 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MIBR Academy | 45c | 375.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked MIBR Academy | 53c | 359$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked MIBR Academy | 53c | 349.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed MIBR Academy | 45c | 317.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed MIBR Academy | 43c | 294.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed MIBR Academy | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked MIBR Academy | 56c | 245.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed MIBR Academy | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed MIBR Academy | 53c | 187.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Keyd | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed MIBR Academy | 53c | 169.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed MIBR Academy | 54c | 151.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed MIBR Academy | 42c | 128.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MIBR Academy | 58c | 128.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed MIBR Academy | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked MIBR Academy | 52c | 115.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 309 | 38.5%119 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked MIBR Academy | 52c | 105.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed MIBR Academy | 52c | 90.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 265 | 44.2%117 W · 148 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed MIBR Academy | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed MIBR Academy | 52c | 65.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked MIBR Academy | 52c | 62.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR Academy | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked MIBR Academy | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked MIBR Academy | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MIBR Academy | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked MIBR Academy | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked MIBR Academy | 45c | 32.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed MIBR Academy | 56c | 30.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked MIBR Academy | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group BKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.