CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f854d7c4ccc1fd698f3d5371bb89633a6d4208b519a6a1d22406ddf91a3b407

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Keydof Keyd, MIBR Academy
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,712 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Keyd	70c	12,670$8,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,826.09	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked MIBR Academy	33c	2,846$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.03	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR Academy	25c	2,719$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.68	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed MIBR Academy	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	574	0%0 W · 574 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Keyd	63c	1,625$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.14	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed MIBR Academy	35c	1,341$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.08	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MIBR Academy	27c	1,093$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.85	328	32.3%106 W · 222 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR Academy	17c	999.01$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.7	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed MIBR Academy	24c	920.81$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.65	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR Academy	30c	895.44$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.98	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed MIBR Academy	1c	799.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	383	12.8%49 W · 334 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked MIBR Academy	33c	724.32$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.58	946	45.8%433 W · 513 L	+18.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed Keyd	73c	683.13$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.59	74	64.9%48 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…da4fbacked MIBR Academy	24c	621.98$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd	74c	599.62$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.57	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed MIBR Academy	33c	543.57$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.42	275	44%121 W · 154 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed MIBR Academy	29c	430$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.87	270	37.8%102 W · 168 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MIBR Academy	33c	400$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR Academy	30c	399.4$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.23	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed MIBR Academy	29c	387.26$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.3	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR Academy	29c	383.22$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.95	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Keyd	72c	370$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.65	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MIBR Academy	31c	369.18$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.61	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR Academy	25c	317.12$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.18	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR Academy	28c	310.22$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.83	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR Academy	27c	302$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.21	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MIBR Academy	29c	279.69$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.52	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8627…cb74backed MIBR Academy	38c	243.63$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Keyd	75c	220.99$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.25	226	54.9%124 W · 102 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MIBR Academy	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x285b…df1ebacked MIBR Academy	38c	196.68$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.93	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR Academy	30c	195.86$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.11	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Keyd	70c	185.65$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.65	405	58.8%238 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Keyd	76c	185$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.71	229	54.6%125 W · 104 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed MIBR Academy	31c	184$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.77	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed MIBR Academy	34c	164.11$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.35	334	48.2%161 W · 173 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed MIBR Academy	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	399	55.4%221 W · 178 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd	73c	152.85$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.66	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked MIBR Academy	41c	147$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.85	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MIBR Academy	34c	145.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.75	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a9…5862backed Keyd	71c	143.97$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.1	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked MIBR Academy	35c	133.92$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.66	304	50.7%154 W · 150 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed MIBR Academy	26c	126.03$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.41	77	26%20 W · 57 L	-8.1wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIBR Academy	26c	122.3$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.59	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed MIBR Academy	35c	120$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	309	39.2%121 W · 188 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked MIBR Academy	36c	119.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	303	49.8%151 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MIBR Academy	26c	119.64$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50f…b948backed Keyd	71c	118.96$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.09	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR Academy	27c	118$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.89	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Keyd	69c	115.73$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.73	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed MIBR Academy	39c	104.87$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.84	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked MIBR Academy	33c	102.05$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.68	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Keyd	57c	101.38$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.58	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR Academy	27c	100.82$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed MIBR Academy	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	321	38.3%123 W · 198 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked MIBR Academy	35c	91.43$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	220	37.3%82 W · 138 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked MIBR Academy	37c	80.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	306	38.9%119 W · 187 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed MIBR Academy	19c	80$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed MIBR Academy	33c	75.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	442	44.1%195 W · 247 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked MIBR Academy	30c	72.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.12	746	53.5%399 W · 347 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed MIBR Academy	29c	69.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a2…eea0backed MIBR Academy	30c	66.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked MIBR Academy	33c	65.45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed MIBR Academy	28c	65$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	457	54.5%249 W · 208 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked MIBR Academy	30c	64.09$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	526	45.1%237 W · 289 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed MIBR Academy	35c	62.86$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked MIBR Academy	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Keyd	74c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed MIBR Academy	35c	54.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed Keyd	68c	49.81$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.74	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd	63c	49.02$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.14	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed MIBR Academy	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	159	58.5%93 W · 66 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Keyd	68c	42.29$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	281	73%205 W · 76 L	+21.6wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Keyd	68c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Keyd	70c	39$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.66	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked MIBR Academy	29c	35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	271	56.8%154 W · 117 L	+13.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Keyd	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR Academy	31c	33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed Keyd	58c	32.97$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked MIBR Academy	35c	28.85$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	850	54.4%462 W · 388 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd	79c	25.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.35	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group BKeyd won
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)Keyd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event