CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ce91b4b7020d027224922dacbec97bca244978d85067b711ee0cd78a85932b6

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: QUAZARof QUAZAR, Brute
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,469 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Brute	58c	4,382$2,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,532.28	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QUAZAR	48c	2,030$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.48	5,580	47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L	+47.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Brute	50c	1,755$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.31	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed QUAZAR	40c	1,500$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.95	1,423	33.6%478 W · 945 L	+41.8wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR	41c	948.88$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557	7,990	50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L	+180.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR	66c	686.57$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.49	6,501	42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L	-79.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed QUAZAR	47c	670.77$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.27	4,099	51%2,091 W · 2,008 L	+74.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed QUAZAR	44c	643.19$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.42	1,041	53.1%553 W · 488 L	+63.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed QUAZAR	49c	537.92$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.34	200	45.5%91 W · 109 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked QUAZAR	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	117	58.1%68 W · 49 L	-11.0wins	-0.09per pick	68cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Brute	61c	500$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	301	55.8%168 W · 133 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Brute	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	385	57.1%220 W · 165 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee02…58bcbacked Brute	23c	424.22$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.66	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed QUAZAR	40c	400$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	1,325	44.1%584 W · 741 L	+44.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed QUAZAR	51c	348$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.52	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Brute	58c	344.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,178	54.5%642 W · 536 L	-36.7wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Brute	23c	254.93$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.21	1,431	39%558 W · 873 L	-41.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked QUAZAR	75c	250$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.5	1,523	51.5%785 W · 738 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked Brute	25c	249.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	204	44.1%90 W · 114 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Brute	53c	243.58$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.37	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed QUAZAR	76c	242.14$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.14	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Brute	25c	240$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	221	50.2%111 W · 110 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Brute	49c	237.41$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.33	562	39.5%222 W · 340 L	-21.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fff…bb71backed Brute	25c	236$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed QUAZAR	75c	235.17$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.11	1,649	46.9%774 W · 875 L	-28.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed QUAZAR	40c	230$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	446	43.5%194 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked Brute	51c	201.05$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.29	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed Brute	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	38.5%67 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed QUAZAR	77c	191.29$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.18	132	58.3%77 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x196e…9277backed Brute	54c	190.81$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.41	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR	48c	177.75$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.74	5,034	37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L	-260.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Brute	25c	174.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.75	395	40.3%159 W · 236 L	+29.9wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04c3…ef7cbacked Brute	55c	163.9$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.94	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	58cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Brute	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	14cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked QUAZAR	54c	149.3$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.73	4,754	43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked QUAZAR	68c	135$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c60…1129backed Brute	49c	134.01$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.29	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-6.6wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca96…9e7ebacked QUAZAR	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed QUAZAR	50c	130.91$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.51	336	47.9%161 W · 175 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed QUAZAR	56c	130.43$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.71	163	55.2%90 W · 73 L	-8.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Brute	18c	128.65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.34	735	53.5%393 W · 342 L	+28.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed QUAZAR	50c	127.43$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.86	197	48.7%96 W · 101 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Brute	50c	121.94$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.09	200	46%92 W · 108 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed QUAZAR	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.3	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfef6…c725backed QUAZAR	48c	119.97$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.38	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3b…05aabacked Brute	51c	109$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.87	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed QUAZAR	42c	108$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.64	172	39.5%68 W · 104 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Brute	60c	105.24$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.14	405	58.8%238 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb38…7a02backed Brute	51c	102.63$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked QUAZAR	43c	101.87$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.07	253	42.3%107 W · 146 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed QUAZAR	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.5	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Brute	37c	72.37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.69	2,143	47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L	-61.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked QUAZAR	57c	65$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	1,790	59.2%1,060 W · 730 L	+106.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5c4…74bbbacked Brute	55c	61.12$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.59	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51d7…a25fbacked Brute	55c	57.92$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.81	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked QUAZAR	50c	57.09$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.34	3,267	45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L	-85.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Brute	20c	57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x784c…fcb9backed Brute	51c	56.23$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.68	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked QUAZAR	50c	53.52$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.9	681	47%320 W · 361 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Brute	22c	53.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	2,554	41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L	-116.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f0…0f4cbacked QUAZAR	30c	50.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.32	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed QUAZAR	64c	49.91$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	624	48.2%301 W · 323 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed QUAZAR	43c	46.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.52	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed QUAZAR	44c	41.27$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.18	773	46.1%356 W · 417 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8072…c60abacked QUAZAR	39c	40.38$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.65	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad4e…a1a1backed QUAZAR	70c	39.67$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.9	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d94…eb52backed Brute	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Brute	57c	39.13$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Brute	32c	38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	5,341	31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L	-390.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed QUAZAR	75c	37$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed QUAZAR	44c	34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.04	109	56.9%62 W · 47 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed QUAZAR	43c	32.79$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.79	368	56.8%209 W · 159 L	+13.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed QUAZAR	41c	31.98$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.87	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed QUAZAR	41c	30.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.13	418	53.6%224 W · 194 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed QUAZAR	42c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked QUAZAR	49c	28.7$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.73	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Brute	56c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	447	63.5%284 W · 163 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5cc…e18fbacked QUAZAR	50c	26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed QUAZAR	61c	25.64$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	406	66.3%269 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c9…234dbacked QUAZAR	42c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	54	64.8%35 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed QUAZAR	50c	23.34$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	125	40%50 W · 75 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed QUAZAR	63c	17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.29	535	69.3%371 W · 164 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	71cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ae…c9d7backed QUAZAR	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)QUAZAR won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event