CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8080e3de46ea17f1c290fc4d39abc9e1a376c9d2d99ce42fb90a586b86848e2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof QUAZAR, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Brute | 41c | 6,705$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.39 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR | 49c | 2,409$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Brute | 10c | 1,765$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QUAZAR | 67c | 1,560$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.48 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked QUAZAR | 72c | 1,106$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.49 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Brute | 56c | 1,040$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.81 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed QUAZAR | 75c | 897.77$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Brute | 13c | 800$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked QUAZAR | 68c | 746.84$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed QUAZAR | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Brute | 37c | 400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QUAZAR | 46c | 270.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed QUAZAR | 42c | 266.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed QUAZAR | 45c | 257.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Brute | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 139 | 38.1%53 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed QUAZAR | 44c | 226.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Brute | 11c | 142.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Brute | 38c | 129.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Brute | 11c | 102.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed QUAZAR | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked QUAZAR | 70c | 96.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed QUAZAR | 53c | 65.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Brute | 48c | 55.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed QUAZAR | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed QUAZAR | 51c | 43.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Brute | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked QUAZAR | 57c | 31.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed QUAZAR | 53c | 31.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 PlayoffsQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)QUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.