CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfbb6f3dd193ae5bc070b0e3e73ad72b0e7ef5c2c41456197393a7403cc67ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof QUAZAR, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Brute | 26c | 1,159$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Brute | 46c | 776.21$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.12 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Brute | 41c | 285$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Brute | 48c | 270.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed QUAZAR | 61c | 230.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed QUAZAR | 54c | 229.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked QUAZAR | 56c | 182.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed QUAZAR | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Brute | 42c | 137.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked QUAZAR | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked QUAZAR | 69c | 128.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…9164backed Brute | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed QUAZAR | 74c | 97.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Brute | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked QUAZAR | 61c | 86.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed QUAZAR | 62c | 82.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Brute | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed QUAZAR | 65c | 74.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked QUAZAR | 57c | 73.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked QUAZAR | 55c | 70.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Brute | 37c | 62.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brute | 36c | 59.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR | 52c | 58.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked QUAZAR | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed QUAZAR | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked QUAZAR | 54c | 50.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed QUAZAR | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed QUAZAR | 56c | 41.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed QUAZAR | 70c | 41.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked QUAZAR | 75c | 40.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked QUAZAR | 63c | 27.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…f758backed QUAZAR | 56c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked QUAZAR | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked QUAZAR | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed QUAZAR | 74c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked QUAZAR | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 PlayoffsQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)QUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.