Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492765a15c3cd00dd9ec07fc2b2ee551c61b162774def20c0a88b4f714b395ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed OG | 30c | 44,941$13,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,482.15 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 1c | 24,819$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.19 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed OG | 30c | 18,835$5,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618.76 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Spirit | 70c | 8,364$5,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.83 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 70c | 7,121$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.86 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit | 70c | 6,943$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.86 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked OG | 30c | 2,331$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.22 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,688$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.51 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 26c | 1,657$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.4 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed OG | 12c | 1,180$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,139$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.62 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Spirit | 70c | 670$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Spirit | 71c | 604.08$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Spirit | 69c | 505.62$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed OG | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Team Spirit | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked OG | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked OG | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18a…1c89backed OG | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed OG | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked OG | 29c | 166.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…216bbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…bcd7backed Team Spirit | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked OG | 31c | 138$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed Team Spirit | 70c | 130.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed OG | 30c | 129$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Spirit | 69c | 129$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed OG | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed OG | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed OG | 31c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Spirit | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…59c7backed Team Spirit | 70c | 85.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed OG | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 80.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked OG | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed OG | 30c | 75.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 74.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 31c | 74.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 69c | 73.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Spirit | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Spirit | 70c | 56.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 55.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Team Spirit | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ed12backed Team Spirit | 70c | 40.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed OG | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Team Spirit | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked OG | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Team Spirit | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Team Spirit | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…9846backed Team Spirit | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…61f1backed Team Spirit | 70c | 25.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…f8e2backed Team Spirit | 71c | 25.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 24.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.