Cabo Verde leading at halftime?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb11a524d74c91fff4638db78c18e352273e1cc019daee2766fef9f7954910324

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $572,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $592,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,074 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	5c	109,863$5,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,933.75	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes	5c	98,773$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	122	10.7%13 W · 109 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	23,886$1,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,117.15	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes	6c	16,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa94…3601backed Yes	5c	13,852$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.58	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Yes	3c	8,544$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.02	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	4c	6,218$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.55	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Yes	5c	4,590$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.9	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	2c	4,573$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.46	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	5c	3,701$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.32	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes	3c	3,098$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+5.9wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	3c	3,095$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	245	39.6%97 W · 148 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb70…be84backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	3c	1,844$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7a…2703backed Yes	1c	1,692$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x055e…7b08backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+251.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	4c	1,501$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.24	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec2…4035backed Yes	5c	1,400$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes	4c	1,319$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.74	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6226…a17dbacked Yes	4c	1,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-76%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8091…6bf6backed Yes	6c	1,233$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	121	23.1%28 W · 93 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	124	17.7%22 W · 102 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	84	25%21 W · 63 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c4…d2c3backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	15%6 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	5c	980$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…0bdabacked Yes	5c	950.4$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.52	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	6c	616.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0840…f4d9backed Yes	6c	616.67$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Yes	3c	604.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.34	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda9b…14b5backed Yes	5c	520$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes	5c	441.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	6c	371$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes	5c	366.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c9…c1dcbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8d96backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes	5c	331.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.58	196	18.4%36 W · 160 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	158	53.2%84 W · 74 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7699…70b9backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	4c	289.42$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes	6c	263.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	180	37.2%67 W · 113 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc874…e0c8backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	373	20.9%78 W · 295 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffd…d98bbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…68f9backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+87.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeaec…32a1backed Yes	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	294	30.3%89 W · 205 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51a…7e42backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	50	12%6 W · 44 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	356	12.6%45 W · 311 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Yes	6c	195.12$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	200	14.5%29 W · 171 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cabo Verde leading at halftime?this page
Argentina leading at halftime?Yes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cabo Verde leading at halftime?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event