Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae079b5eff2b45051039aacefd97f4030532c880e0de873fd25acda72428e2a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $390,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 117,307$75,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,902.46 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 110,805$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 28c | 38,311$10,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,763.34 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 35c | 26,741$9,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,265.91 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 15,675$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 72c | 11,955$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.46 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 11,303$8,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.15 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 11,002$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.05 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 28c | 10,800$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 9,861$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.77 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 9,297$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.82 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 28c | 6,266$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.46 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 49c | 6,086$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 2,853$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.73 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…2f2fbacked Yes | 39c | 2,579$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 5c | 2,487$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Yes | 7c | 2,112$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 3c | 1,972$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 27c | 1,699$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.72 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 73c | 1,689$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.33 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 38c | 1,462$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 1,366$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.34 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 2c | 1,343$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 28c | 1,125$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.43 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 1,064$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…4035backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…449ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 970.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 38c | 919.05$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.24 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 899.41$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 73c | 788.62$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 38c | 775.71$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.77 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 771.14$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 41c | 739.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…90f7backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 28c | 701.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…1a8ebacked Yes | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 608.05$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…20dcbacked Yes | 28c | 607.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 73c | 582$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 550$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 513.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 72c | 512$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes | 29c | 458.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 136 | 10.3%14 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 447.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes | 29c | 420$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…5921backed Yes | 28c | 363.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 29c | 345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…1b20backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…43d3backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…4ae4backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 72c | 300.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 44c | 288.89$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 34c | 275.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 36c | 267.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 71c | 255.06$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 42c | 240.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 37c | 208.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 28c | 202.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…2728backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…8dc6backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 28c | 158.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…42dabacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c682backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 62c | 130.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…6ba9backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 72c | 117.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24a…45b1backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 108.18$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…0184backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 29c | 104.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?Yes won
- Cabo Verde leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.