MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x699963decd80b39cdab40ba43fce08f82b59cfe2142520ee88d61027b9ec9f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 46c | 94,300$43,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,945.92 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 57,889$39,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,943.42 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 62c | 21,149$13,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,177.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,350 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 55c | 14,178$7,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,841.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Athletics | 25c | 13,969$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,468.67 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics | 32c | 11,129$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,581.78 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 72c | 9,923$7,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,109.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 57c | 8,771$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…041bbacked Athletics | 36c | 7,989$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 61c | 7,747$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.18 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Houston Astros | 48c | 6,542$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.17 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Houston Astros | 60c | 6,243$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.36 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 31c | 4,702$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.64 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Athletics | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 4,423$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Athletics | 14c | 3,800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.45 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 3,625$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.75 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Athletics | 35c | 3,000$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.53 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 69c | 2,903$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.44 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Houston Astros | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,631$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.97 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Athletics | 32c | 2,300$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,299$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Houston Astros | 25c | 2,250$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.45 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 2,162$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.78 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 43c | 2,037$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 1,824$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.21 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 57c | 1,749$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.76 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 58c | 1,500$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,319$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.85 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Athletics | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,293$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.88 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 1,171$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.42 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.88 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Houston Astros | 19c | 1,055$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 68c | 1,047$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Athletics | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…5ef0backed Houston Astros | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Athletics | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Athletics | 31c | 907.25$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Houston Astros | 57c | 867.94$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Houston Astros | 39c | 848.2$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.39 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Athletics | 31c | 842.21$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.12 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Houston Astros | 63c | 836.19$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 34c | 795.55$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 31c | 764.01$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.17 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Houston Astros | 62c | 721.82$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.53 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Houston Astros | 62c | 715.01$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.47 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 68c | 606.4$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 44c | 588.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 51c | 544.37$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Houston Astros | 19c | 532.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 511$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.62 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Athletics | 31c | 501$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.69 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Houston Astros | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 497.54$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.42 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 68c | 491.48$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Houston Astros | 57c | 447.61$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.34 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 31c | 440$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 401.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Athletics | 30c | 392.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.45 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Athletics | 31c | 381$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.89 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 353.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Athletics | 54c | 326.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 78c | 322.6$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Athletics | 30c | 320$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Houston Astros | 47c | 319.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 317.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.57 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Athletics | 33c | 303$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Athletics | 31c | 288$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Athletics | 57c | 284.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Houston Astros | 67c | 263.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 252.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Athletics | 32c | 247.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Houston Astros | 42c | 244.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 32c | 231.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…26b3backed Athletics | 32c | 229.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Houston Astros | 60c | 218.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 42c | 215$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 212.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Houston Astros | 67c | 202.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics | 64c | 200.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Houston Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 197$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 196.4$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Athletics | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 31c | 190$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Athletics | 32c | 180.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 179.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 176.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Houston Astros | 57c | 176.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Houston Astros | 61c | 175$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 31c | 170$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 169.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e3…31c9backed Athletics | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 101 | 69.3%70 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Houston Astros | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…9720backed Athletics | 34c | 147.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.