Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66d1a0df095ff68ad9793af3fd1b73781901afb58e0f6dd7919500b19b3743c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 10,602$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,167.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 70c | 9,800$6,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,905.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 67c | 2,500$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 1,872$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,217$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.74 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 34c | 992.01$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.23 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 30c | 743.48$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.91 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 37c | 612.56$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.57 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 78c | 303.16$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 33c | 198.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…22babacked Yes | 21c | 185.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Yes | 66c | 180.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 171.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed Yes | 50c | 166.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed Yes | 66c | 151.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 74c | 147.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 14c | 139.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 130.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 130.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 123.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 103.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 100.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 71c | 83.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 75.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 73.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 57.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 34c | 53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 31c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 44c | 39.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 61c | 28.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 73c | 27.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a7…c2e4backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 43c | 23.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 66c | 22.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…1b3ebacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 16.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 80c | 16.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.