Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62df2cebf84b7b3d83cc4e561659f1343e659c7d1597de27c9467cc3341aa827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 21c | 22,203$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,662.13 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 8,613$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 5,440$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.16 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 5,286$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 977.87$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 80c | 958.31$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 915$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 19c | 705.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 19c | 638.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 506.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 15c | 417.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 343.95$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 38c | 259.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked No | 61c | 218.07$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 17c | 177.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 144.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 78c | 21.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 77c | 14.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
- Will Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.