AI · resolved market
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeffd794f7b8485abbcf04447cfe54dc27eb981d74cc17653a4b654d2b11cab97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 75c | 3,870$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.37 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 1,103$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.73 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 1c | 1,090$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 22c | 1,018$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.68 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 15c | 643.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…addbbacked Yes | 34c | 636.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 77c | 627.77$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.71 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 17c | 521.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.38 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 50c | 370.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 356.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 28c | 270.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 43c | 265$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 76c | 264.69$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 22c | 192.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 76c | 181.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 55c | 139.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 43c | 134$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Yes | 77c | 133.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…e93dbacked Yes | 27c | 114.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 114$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 77c | 113$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…0f32backed Yes | 41c | 112.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked No | 74c | 112$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 103$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 22c | 97.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 94.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 61c | 93.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 43c | 84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 38c | 78.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 64c | 73.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 73c | 71.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…4246backed Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…db7ebacked Yes | 63c | 63.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 72c | 62.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…5136backed Yes | 26c | 60.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3c…c6d8backed No | 45c | 57.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 55.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed Yes | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 51.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…cf85backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…1b2ebacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 31c | 40.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fb…58e2backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…c62ebacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 79c | 27.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86e…efbebacked Yes | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 51c | 23.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 78c | 20.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.