AI · resolved market
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15cf895714fe3b5ffb90ba489ca622b6fb9e07af4daf1f4f487b8c5990427d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x999f…addbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,127$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 1c | 1,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…1e60backed Yes | 34c | 290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…d2c8backed No | 66c | 290$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…e93dbacked Yes | 33c | 267.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…0f32backed Yes | 27c | 267.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 18c | 258.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 70c | 176.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 74c | 151$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…c837backed No | 68c | 129.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 114$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 50c | 106.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 53c | 96.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 91.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 68c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 82.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked No | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…3abfbacked Yes | 31c | 73.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…6901backed No | 69c | 73.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 73c | 71.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked Yes | 28c | 66.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…e94cbacked No | 77c | 64.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 71c | 51.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…dd8abacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1d…0eacbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 48.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…b335backed No | 67c | 48.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes | 51c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 51c | 36.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…c62fbacked No | 72c | 31.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6895backed No | 72c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…a99abacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…97c1backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…3cfabacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…ed2cbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…3d43backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…9279backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…cebbbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.