Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2720386da9e83c8d40efd9c88d74a5b722bc183abc9ea3531caa46256837f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7500…567fbacked No | 4c | 8,385$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.58 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 1c | 2,144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,860$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed No | 6c | 1,269$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 3c | 1,197$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 186 | 8.6%16 W · 170 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 25c | 828.04$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 6c | 514.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 77c | 500$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5b…2979backed Yes | 63c | 486.41$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 11c | 453.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 387$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 24c | 346$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 25c | 300$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 24c | 236$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 6c | 216.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 10c | 206.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 25c | 180.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 25c | 176.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 26c | 147$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 13c | 146.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed No | 16c | 132$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 112.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 16c | 110.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 33c | 90.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 29c | 81.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 23c | 79.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 21c | 70.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 45.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8c…f777backed No | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.