CS2 · resolved market
Will there be a Zeus kill in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14c825edcde6bcd61ebd413ba62d653614d3372fe7c158ed8902c307073efd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked No | 79c | 1,959$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.88 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Yes | 10c | 1,339$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 275$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed No | 46c | 260.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 31c | 183.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 28c | 107.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 15c | 92.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…3549backed No | 58c | 77.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…4c49backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 71c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 58c | 23.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 50c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.