Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e609dbddbd92486e06bbee1ecea76d5810086616f047d4378573ab466cb22b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.82 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 47c | 910.44$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.58 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 46c | 719.9$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.63 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 49c | 659.64$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.64 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a338backed No | 12c | 404.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +29.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 46c | 366.55$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.23 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 7c | 322$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 41c | 300$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa138…7a9bbacked No | 26c | 299.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 52c | 268$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed Yes | 77c | 247.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 29c | 243.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…730cbacked No | 7c | 238.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 29c | 236.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 56c | 223.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 55c | 208.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 53c | 204.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked No | 14c | 192.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 24c | 170.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 71c | 169.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 42c | 169.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 162.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 31c | 158.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 158.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 54c | 153.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 7c | 146.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 19c | 137.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 34c | 134.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 41c | 125.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 49c | 120.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…2529backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…b6ddbacked Yes | 72c | 97.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf865…d810backed Yes | 41c | 76.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 36c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 65c | 64.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 25c | 53.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 73c | 52.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4aaebacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bbf5backed No | 21c | 48.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 48c | 44.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 47c | 42.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 56c | 40.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…932abacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…4e58backed No | 30c | 38.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked No | 54c | 37.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…bb39backed Yes | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 55c | 30.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 70c | 29.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…5c14backed Yes | 47c | 25.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed No | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked No | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 23.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 59c | 23.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 80c | 23.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…16e6backed No | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…4e33backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e33…6e0cbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 39°C or higher on August 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.