CS2 · resolved market
Will G2 Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52df2cdbc88a34d276410719e6ccd36b6564c272c543f43b882e571c6738d154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 33c | 4,897$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.45 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 69c | 4,740$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.6 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 44c | 481$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2727backed No | 16c | 420.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 299.39$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 70c | 185.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 151$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked No | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 30c | 94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 74c | 92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 30c | 76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed No | 33c | 72.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed No | 36c | 69.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 69c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 79c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…2fecbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 42c | 27.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 38c | 27.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 75c | 20.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will G2 Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?this page
- Will 3DMAX Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes won
- Will Astralis Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes won
- Will Aurora Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will FURIA Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will FUT Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will FaZe Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes won
- Will Falcons Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will GamerLegion Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will HOTU Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will OG Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will Spirit Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes won
- Will The MongolZ Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes won
- Will Vitality Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will magic Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No won
- Will paiN Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.