TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will HOTU Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $778 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a56…be30backed Yes43c160$68 inLost-$68.420651.9%107 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes35c64$23 inLost-$22.641266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes43c60$26 inLost-$25.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No64c23$15 inWon+$8.2810650%53 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed No70c21$15 inWon+$6.310449%51 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No57c20$11 inWon+$8.619652%102 W · 94 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No66c20$13 inWon+$6.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.