TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will The MongolZ Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,791 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe74…a70ebacked No63c140$88 inLost-$88.419652%102 W · 94 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No21c100$21 inLost-$2175350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked No72c100$72 inLost-$722962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes41c93$38 inWon+$54.7310650%53 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed No53c85$45 inLost-$45.2518846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes37c60$22 inWon+$37.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes41c60$24 inWon+$35.61457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes39c60$23 inWon+$36.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes39c50$20 inWon+$30.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes40c47.5$19 inWon+$28.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa518…8262backed Yes44c40$18 inWon+$22.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes40c27.5$11 inWon+$16.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No78c20$16 inLost-$15.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No67c20$13 inLost-$13.41258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No78c20$16 inLost-$15.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed No59c20$12 inLost-$11.840%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No61c18$11 inLost-$10.9564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.