Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Krajicek/Mektic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf431ebf32dc0708b7877d0f40e949f1414d5079007d60ea6d6a7c0646e3b1157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krajicek/Mekticof Bolelli/Vavassori, Krajicek/Mektic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 66c | 3,851$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.04 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…2d39backed Krajicek/Mektic | 40c | 3,000$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Krajicek/Mektic | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.87 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Krajicek/Mektic | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 1,449 | 28.4%412 W · 1,037 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Krajicek/Mektic | 24c | 1,533$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.55 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…dacdbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Krajicek/Mektic | 27c | 599.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.53 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 396.92$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.75 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 51c | 388.25$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Krajicek/Mektic | 55c | 361.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 262.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Krajicek/Mektic | 39c | 219.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Krajicek/Mektic | 39c | 158.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 1,694 | 50.5%856 W · 838 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 70c | 150.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Krajicek/Mektic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…cb50backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 49c | 104.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 3,885 | 55%2,137 W · 1,748 L | +111.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 29c | 97.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1,384 | 16.5%228 W · 1,156 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Krajicek/Mektic | 32c | 94.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Krajicek/Mektic | 39c | 94.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Krajicek/Mektic | 28c | 88.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…275abacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 75c | 86.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Krajicek/Mektic | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 67c | 83.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…f6a0backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 77.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Krajicek/Mektic | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…6a85backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 63c | 63.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…83c7backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 56.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…5609backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 62c | 45.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…7d63backed Krajicek/Mektic | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…82ebbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 51c | 32.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…c613backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Krajicek/Mektic | 38c | 27.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d43…579dbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 25.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 73c | 20.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2,899 | 39.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 62c | 17.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.