TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62dd…1643

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+142.7%+$28.54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.46
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$71.26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+208.2%+$41.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+235.1%+$35.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+128.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+246.2%+$36.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$37.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.