College Football · resolved market
Minnesota vs. California
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf24ec3bc26f79f51b6f29adc1c77a9e3baca8adcdc6c144662306201eb9a55e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Californiaof Minnesota, California
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa983…46a3backed California | 58c | 132,206$76,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,439.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Minnesota | 44c | 46,439$20,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,295.32 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Minnesota | 41c | 40,193$16,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,464.69 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed California | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Minnesota | 43c | 25,159$10,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,778.95 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota | 56c | 19,734$11,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,007.46 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Minnesota | 52c | 17,552$9,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,126.83 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Minnesota | 49c | 13,538$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582.85 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Minnesota | 52c | 12,694$6,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.97 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Minnesota | 5c | 9,763$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota | 55c | 6,904$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.28 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Minnesota | 59c | 6,807$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.32 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked California | 41c | 5,597$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.28 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Minnesota | 5c | 4,702$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed California | 74c | 3,779$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.92 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed California | 56c | 3,498$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.82 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Minnesota | 57c | 2,678$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.65 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked California | 45c | 1,552$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.09 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Minnesota | 26c | 1,472$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.47 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked California | 37c | 1,353$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.31 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Minnesota | 55c | 1,216$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.39 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked California | 55c | 1,197$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.71 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked California | 52c | 1,055$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.79 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Minnesota | 30c | 1,019$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Minnesota | 29c | 1,008$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.89 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed California | 42c | 939.62$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.61 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed California | 42c | 834.54$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California | 57c | 736.97$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked California | 43c | 703.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Minnesota | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…e6c6backed Minnesota | 54c | 558.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California | 42c | 532.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.84 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed California | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Minnesota | 51c | 486.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72d…a4e0backed California | 74c | 409.01$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed California | 65c | 401.9$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…0437backed California | 57c | 395.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Minnesota | 51c | 370.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked California | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Minnesota | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed California | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed California | 43c | 292.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed California | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California | 79c | 256.29$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed California | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed California | 43c | 241.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Minnesota | 58c | 230$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota | 46c | 205.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed California | 48c | 205.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Minnesota | 59c | 196.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…e669backed Minnesota | 52c | 190.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Minnesota | 49c | 160.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed California | 56c | 154$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked California | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…0d7fbacked Minnesota | 57c | 126.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Minnesota | 40c | 119$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed California | 44c | 114.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Minnesota | 48c | 109.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…5f84backed California | 43c | 104.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…19cbbacked California | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed California | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Minnesota | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…40bfbacked California | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed California | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Minnesota | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked California | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Minnesota | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed California | 54c | 83.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Minnesota | 54c | 82.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Minnesota | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Minnesota | 46c | 67.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed California | 43c | 65.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Minnesota | 58c | 65.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed California | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…2759backed Minnesota | 55c | 56.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed California | 37c | 50.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Minnesota | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed California | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…08b0backed Minnesota | 31c | 45.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked California | 42c | 43.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed California | 70c | 42.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed California | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked California | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed California | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Minnesota | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…1643backed California | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…1193backed Minnesota | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Minnesota | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28a…bcd4backed Minnesota | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked California | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California | 45c | 27.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…2db8backed Minnesota | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Minnesota | 58c | 19.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked California | 65c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.