Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $2.30 November 24-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6129cf58055d69ce7d67118d12c8cb066001bee5c28d66d4be574268dfca132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef10…0b43backed Yes | 39c | 12,585$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.35 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked No | 61c | 9,415$5,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 14c | 6,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked No | 51c | 4,831$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.35 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,320$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…b646backed No | 64c | 3,102$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…6cbebacked No | 58c | 1,894$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 77c | 1,393$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.98 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 53c | 549$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 16c | 307.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…2899backed Yes | 5c | 307.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…fe13backed Yes | 43c | 240.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 73c | 234.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 48c | 210$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked No | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 27c | 143.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 52c | 129.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…9a82backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…eb60backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $2.30 November 24-30?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.40 November 24-30?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.50 November 24-30?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.80 November 24-30?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.90 November 24-30?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2.00 November 24-30?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 November 24-30?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.50 November 24-30?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 November 24-30?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.70 November 24-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.