South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf030405c38916788287aae72ccef8778d52e475adc9c584401e1e424d87bbc43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 3,150$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes | 26c | 2,152$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,179$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…53bcbacked Yes | 19c | 588.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 29c | 455.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…b8c6backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…75c9backed Yes | 39c | 170.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…8c13backed Yes | 39c | 161.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…739ebacked Yes | 40c | 140.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7eebbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 38c | 131.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 12c | 130.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…36ddbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…a72ebacked Yes | 39c | 89.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 68.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…eb60backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…ad0fbacked Yes | 39c | 44.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…5b36backed Yes | 36c | 41.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 36c | 39.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 73c | 16.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.