Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x448796fe68e9276d81b6bcf394821f3087ddc9b34b706473ea5f66168c18db66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 46c | 11,091$5,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.05 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 29c | 2,266$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 2,003$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.75 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,124$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.86 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked No | 9c | 700.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 553.02$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 56c | 448.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…b9fdbacked Yes | 75c | 398.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 47c | 206.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 171.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 36c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 145.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 8c | 137.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 53c | 105.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 105.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 29c | 104.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…6937backed Yes | 47c | 103.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…af84backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…fe97backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…09f2backed Yes | 48c | 30.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…76e4backed Yes | 74c | 25.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…78bbbacked Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…eb60backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Yes | 68c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.