Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d955a7e1016fe26f74cf2a25b3d5f9d1d8612b45688e6c9e6a7c22e6f94dabf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 9,082$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 21c | 6,290$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 21c | 6,240$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 25c | 5,548$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 75c | 3,537$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 2,130$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.14 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 21c | 1,778$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 78c | 1,134$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.79 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 23c | 1,068$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 834.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 23c | 800.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 765.42$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 719.57$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.8 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 20c | 572.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed No | 23c | 265.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 80c | 251.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked No | 10c | 151$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…e693backed Yes | 79c | 111.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 25c | 110.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 25c | 104.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 75c | 99.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed No | 22c | 91.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 21c | 79.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 28c | 67.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…2337backed Yes | 78c | 64.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 21c | 57.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…5593backed Yes | 76c | 52.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes | 79c | 23.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Yes | 79c | 17.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…327abacked Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Livingston FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.