Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051b1f147cacf79d729cb61f72b24a991743dd0d9156a1c6896cfebf9468f0fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi State Bulldogsof Mississippi State Bulldogs, Texas Longhorns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 32c | 28,362$9,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,250.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Texas Longhorns | 71c | 9,626$6,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,834.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Texas Longhorns | 53c | 9,152$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880.41 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Longhorns | 62c | 9,031$5,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,631.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 37c | 4,585$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 10c | 3,773$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.58 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 30c | 3,303$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.88 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 2,526$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.45 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 2,372$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.58 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 60c | 2,364$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.71 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 70c | 2,298$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Texas Longhorns | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 54c | 1,993$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.5 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Longhorns | 70c | 1,989$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.76 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Texas Longhorns | 4c | 1,800$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 64c | 1,746$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Texas Longhorns | 67c | 1,633$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Texas Longhorns | 65c | 1,380$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.13 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas Longhorns | 75c | 1,368$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.38 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 36c | 1,332$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.92 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 42c | 1,294$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.61 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Texas Longhorns | 67c | 956.55$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.16 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 76c | 867.11$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.11 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Texas Longhorns | 57c | 733.32$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 34c | 693$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.09 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 649.78$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.11 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Texas Longhorns | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Texas Longhorns | 21c | 481.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Longhorns | 80c | 399.69$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Texas Longhorns | 33c | 348.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 48c | 344.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Texas Longhorns | 20c | 320.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Texas Longhorns | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Texas Longhorns | 73c | 280.55$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…811ebacked Texas Longhorns | 68c | 266.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 43c | 252$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.47 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 21c | 242.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.75 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…157abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 23c | 239.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 65c | 214.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Texas Longhorns | 70c | 206.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Texas Longhorns | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 194.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 34c | 175.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Texas Longhorns | 80c | 174.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.22 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Longhorns | 79c | 157.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…3f6bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 79c | 153.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Texas Longhorns | 11c | 151.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 14c | 138$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…3478backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…7303backed Texas Longhorns | 65c | 118.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Texas Longhorns | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 105.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Texas Longhorns | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Texas Longhorns | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Texas Longhorns | 80c | 80.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Texas Longhorns | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Texas Longhorns | 65c | 67.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Longhorns | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…cebdbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 80c | 46.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 64c | 24.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…0910backed Texas Longhorns | 77c | 23.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Texas Longhorns | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhornsthis page
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-9.5)Mississippi State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.