NFL · resolved market
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd56b85e4d7660884273127aab5e6e7aea5711b319c90b1e58a6aaa2573c41457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chiefs, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Lions | 49c | 181,882$88,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,776.97 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chiefs | 51c | 102,000$51,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,400 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Chiefs | 52c | 76,749$39,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,844.94 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Chiefs | 52c | 68,486$35,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,873.12 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Lions | 48c | 31,122$14,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,938.56 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Lions | 49c | 20,420$10,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,006 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Chiefs | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lions | 48c | 12,082$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.54 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lions | 48c | 10,028$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.33 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Lions | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Lions | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Lions | 57c | 7,941$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526.3 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Chiefs | 43c | 7,848$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472.03 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Chiefs | 53c | 5,661$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.7 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 47c | 5,631$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.76 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Chiefs | 51c | 5,250$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Chiefs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…da10backed Lions | 51c | 4,934$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lions | 49c | 3,295$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.55 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chiefs | 51c | 3,234$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.89 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Lions | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chiefs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Lions | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lions | 48c | 1,983$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.28 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Chiefs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Lions | 49c | 1,500$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Lions | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Chiefs | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lions | 48c | 1,358$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.84 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 48c | 1,094$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chiefs | 47c | 873.82$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.13 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Chiefs | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…f264backed Lions | 52c | 618.35$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Chiefs | 48c | 540.29$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.95 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Lions | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Chiefs | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…144cbacked Chiefs | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Chiefs | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lions | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Chiefs | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Chiefs | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Chiefs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Chiefs | 52c | 236.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Chiefs | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Chiefs | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lions | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Lions | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Chiefs | 51c | 204$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Lions | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Chiefs | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chiefs | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Lions | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Lions | 51c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Lions | 49c | 199.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Chiefs | 48c | 183.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Chiefs | 49c | 176.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Lions | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Lions | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Lions | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Lions | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Lions | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Chiefs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Chiefs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Lions | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Chiefs | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Chiefs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chiefs | 49c | 93.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Lions | 49c | 92.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Lions | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Chiefs | 51c | 86.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…4b8ebacked Lions | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Chiefs | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Chiefs | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 59c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Lions | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Chiefs | 48c | 63.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Lions | 48c | 60.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Lions | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Lions | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…2dd1backed Lions | 49c | 53.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…c18dbacked Lions | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…92bbbacked Chiefs | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x513a…7e3ebacked Lions | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…74f0backed Lions | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Lions | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Chiefs | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…ef81backed Lions | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…6407backed Lions | 49c | 39.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0488…aea5backed Lions | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Lions | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Lions | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Chiefs | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Chiefs | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lions | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed Lions | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Lions | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1fa0backed Chiefs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)this page
- Lions vs. ChiefsChiefs won
- Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5Under won
- Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 51.5Under won
- Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)Chiefs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.