Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Utah State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82daafbe6dcb45e0f3621534b60d5c28f90cca28b55147a1771f919c751e6176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof San Diego State Aztecs, Utah State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Utah State Aggies | 60c | 10,337$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.69 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed San Diego State Aztecs | 42c | 4,697$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 40c | 3,992$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego State Aztecs | 41c | 2,639$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.08 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah State Aggies | 74c | 2,304$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Utah State Aggies | 55c | 1,483$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.3 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Utah State Aggies | 69c | 1,433$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed San Diego State Aztecs | 41c | 1,209$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Utah State Aggies | 62c | 1,190$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.02 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed San Diego State Aztecs | 48c | 1,152$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.13 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 38c | 1,133$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.95 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 29c | 973.17$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 33c | 832.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.43 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 9c | 806.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 41c | 676.6$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 43c | 574.44$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.01 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Utah State Aggies | 54c | 469.96$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 36c | 427.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed San Diego State Aztecs | 43c | 403.07$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Utah State Aggies | 51c | 388.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 7c | 366.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed San Diego State Aztecs | 30c | 333.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utah State Aggies | 57c | 311.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed San Diego State Aztecs | 35c | 297.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Utah State Aggies | 73c | 287.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed San Diego State Aztecs | 36c | 286.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 35c | 283.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 9c | 227.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 44c | 225.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah State Aggies | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Utah State Aggies | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed San Diego State Aztecs | 39c | 198.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Utah State Aggies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…cbbebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 34c | 174.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…93a9backed Utah State Aggies | 63c | 157.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…ea07backed San Diego State Aztecs | 33c | 144.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Utah State Aggies | 58c | 141.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Diego State Aztecs | 36c | 124$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Utah State Aggies | 58c | 118.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Utah State Aggies | 66c | 106.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 35c | 99.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed San Diego State Aztecs | 47c | 94.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…0783backed San Diego State Aztecs | 31c | 92.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah State Aggies | 57c | 88.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed San Diego State Aztecs | 23c | 75.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed San Diego State Aztecs | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Utah State Aggies | 52c | 71.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Utah State Aggies | 55c | 66.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…db6fbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 43c | 65.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 49c | 59.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Diego State Aztecs | 37c | 57.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Utah State Aggies | 59c | 50.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed San Diego State Aztecs | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Utah State Aggies | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Utah State Aggies | 57c | 49.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Utah State Aggies | 57c | 48.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…5a35backed San Diego State Aztecs | 35c | 47.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…85e5backed Utah State Aggies | 67c | 41.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego State Aztecs | 46c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed San Diego State Aztecs | 42c | 35.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Utah State Aggies | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Utah State Aggies | 59c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed San Diego State Aztecs | 42c | 28.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…c7bebacked Utah State Aggies | 67c | 25.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 41c | 25.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed Utah State Aggies | 66c | 22.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 70cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Utah State Aggies | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. Utah State Aggiesthis page
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-2.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-3.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-4.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-5.5)Utah State Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.